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2013 hurricane season forecast

 

Tropical Updates

2013 hurricane season forecast

Surfersvillage Global Surf News, 11 April, 2013 : - - The 2013 Atlantic hurricane season could see 18 named tropical storms with nine forming into hurricanes and four of those increasing into major hurricanes, according to a pre-season forecast by Philip J. Klotzbach1 and William M. Gray2 at Colorado State University released Wednesday.

An average year has: 10 named storms, 6 hurricanes with 2.5 becoming major storms. The Colorado State University’s hurricane forecast team cited an unusual warming of the tropical Atlantic and an anticipated lack of El Nino winds as the primary culprits.

Predictions from Colorado State and the government’s National Hurricane Center are two of the most followed tropical storm forecasts. The NHC typically releases its forecast in late May. The official hurricane season runs June 1 through Nov. 30.

EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC SEASONAL HURRICANE ACTIVITY
AND LANDFALL STRIKE PROBABILITY FOR 2013

We anticipate that the 2013 Atlantic basin hurricane season will have enhanced activity compared with the 1981-2010 climatology. The tropical Atlantic has anomalously warmed over the past several months, and it appears that the chances of an El Niño event this summer and fall are unlikely.

We anticipate an above-average probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the United States coastline and in the Caribbean. Coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them, and they need to prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much or how little activity is predicted.

Read the full forecast

Source: UofC

Author: The Editors

Tags: Hurricanes,

Environment: Surfersvillage

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