Click image to enlarge :: Latest Tropical Weather Outlook courtesy of NHC
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Hurricane Kyle Nearing Landfall
Surfersvillage Global Surf News, 28 September, 2008 : - - As of 5:00 p.m. EDT Sunday, Kyle was near 42.7 north, 66.1 west, or 140 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of Nova Scotia. Maximum-sustained winds remain near 75 mph with hurricane-force winds extending outward up to 85 miles mainly east of the center. Tropical storm-force winds extend outward to about 230 miles, mainly north and east of the center. The minimum central pressure was 985 millibars, or 29.09 inches. Kyle is moving north-northeast at 25 mph and should continue moving on this general course into tonight.
The hurricane watch for Maine has been discontinued; however, a tropical storm warning remains in effect from Stonington eastward to Eastport. A hurricane warning is now in effect for southern New Brunswick, Canada, and southwestern Nova Scotia, while tropical storm watches and warnings are in effect for the remainder of Nova Scotia.
North Atlantic infrared satellite - Click image to enlarge
North Atlantic: Tropical Cyclone Advisories & Bulletins | Tropical Weather Outlook
Tropical Weather Discussion | Tropical Cyclone Bulletins | National Warnings Area
As Kyle continues north-northeastward, sea-surface temperatures will become increasingly unfavorable for a tropical system. Strong winds gusting to near tropical storm force will affect coastal sections of eastern Maine with rough surf. However, the main threat to Maine will be that of flooding from heavy rainfall due to interaction with a nearby frontal boundary.
Kyle is projected to make landfall as a strong tropical storm or weak hurricane over Nova Scotia this evening. Conditions in Nova Scotia and southern New Brunswick will deteriorate until then. As Kyle transitions from a tropical system to a non-tropical system, it will continue to produce heavy rain and damaging winds as it cruises through Newfoundland and Atlantic Canada waters on Monday.
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Elsewhere, experts continue to monitor a couple of additional areas in the Atlantic Basin. One is a system about halfway between the Leeward Islands and Africa. Another is near the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico. The system near Yucatan may never become a powerful system, but has the potential to drop very heavy rain this coming week as it drifts to the northeast toward Florida. The system has caused flooding already in Mexico. The system in the middle of the Atlantic has potential to strengthen as it moves westward into a more favorable atmosphere next week.
![[Image of 5-day forecast of predicted track, and coastal areas under a warning or a watch]](http://dadecosurf.com/images/tanal.1.gif)
Current Atlantic Surface Weather Analysis (tropical waves) : Click image to enlarge
Current global sea temperatures and tropical cyclone activity
Click to enlarge : Image courtesy Joint Typhoon Warning Center
Taiwan Slammed By Powerful Typhoon Jangmi
As of Sunday afternoon, EDT, Jangmi was centered near 24.8 north, 121.5 east or just under 20 miles south of Taipei, Taiwan. Maximum-sustained winds have decreased to 85 mph with gusts to 100 mph, making it a Category 1 storm. Jangmi has taken a turn back to the north, moving more slowly at about 7 mph.
Although Jangmi has weakened after making landfall as a super typhoon early this morning, extremely dangerous conditions will continue across northern and eastern Taiwan, with devastating amounts of rain (1 to possibly 4 feet) and mudslides.
Jangmi is expected to recurve more to the northeast after moving through northern Taiwan, sparing eastern China from the worst of the storm. The storm will turn more to the east and weaken for Tuesday and Wednesday, possibly affecting the southern half of Japan as a tropical storm. Parts of South Korea can also have some rain and wind if the storm travels farther north prior to the recurve.
West Pacific infrared satellite - Click image to enlarge
Western Pacific: Tropical Weather Discussion | Alternate | Joint Typhoon Warning Center
Elsewhere, an area of low pressure over the South China Sea continues to show signs of development and could become a tropical depression in the next 24 hours. Despite its close proximity to land, this system is moving slowly and could remain over the warm waters long enough to develop.
Finally, a tropical wave south of Guam is not likely to become a tropical storm in the next 24 hours, although upper-level conditions and water temperatures will become increasingly favorable for development over the next few days. Several computer models suggest that this system could become a tropical storm down the road.
Satellite Imagery
Satellite Animations
Hurricane links:
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Central Pacific Hurricane Center (NOAA)
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